Optionality in Bear Markets

A lot of investors talk about optionality in bull markets. Cash is abundant and optionality is an easy crutch for justifying high valuations. When bear markets come, the talk of optionality ends. Why This Makes ...

10 Degenerate Bets

I invest 98% of my money. Buy and hold. The kind of investing that puts people to sleep. Every now and then, I let the degenerate in me out. Plus, we are in a bear ...

Spot On: Balancing Forecasts and Reality

I expected Spotify to lay out a clear path to profitability at their recent investor’s day. Wall Street has been anxious and in many ways I understand why. We are 10+ years in and Spotify ...

A Big Bite: Why Apple is Risky

A decade plus of domination has made many Apple bulls believe they are immune to risk. The below commentary on iPhone led me to this line of thought, which got pushback from a lot of ...

Why I’m Buying

Times like these, everything looks (and smells) like a shit company. It makes you want to sell. Run for the hills. Bear arguments are everywhere and probably right. From supply chain woes, to World War ...

The Optionality of Ethereum

I’m all kinds of torn on Ethereum. When you use it, it’s just silly. Paying $150 just to make a transaction is silly and sort of against the whole point of web3. Despite the extreme ...

On Buffett and Happiness

Money doesn’t make you happy, well at least for most people. I recently listened to The Snowball on the life of Warren Buffett. It wasn’t fully what I expected. I always just assumed Warren had ...