Buy and HODL

Seeing your portfolio cut in half makes you question some of your decisions. What if I hedged? What if I trimmed? What if I tried to sell the top? All of those questions would’ve made ...

Ignorance is Bliss

I stopped looking at my portfolio for a month. It was a form of tinkering. I set up DCAs, then just stepped back. I probably chose the right month to do this with WW3 fears ...

A Message From the Past

Everything is wild. Stocks are going from extremely high valuations to all time low valuations. How can one make sense of this? One of my favorite ways to find the signal in the noisiest of ...

Time to Tinker

The term convexity can be confusing. Convexity is based in mathematics and the technical definition will make your head spin. However, once you simplify it down to layman terms, it makes a lot more sense. ...

Sandbox Moats: Google’s Search Business

I’ve been thinking on my lack of a Google position lately. The more I look at it, YouTube is a monster with plenty of optionality and a dominant future. I tweeted about this recently and ...

Fear: What is it Good For?

World War 3 is here. Inflation is the highest it has been in 40 years. Interest rate hikes are coming. And on top of this, the market is still following memes and bumping shitcoins. Layer ...

Netflix: What Comes Next?

You can only have so much user growth for so long. At a certain point, growth will naturally slow. It seems like Netflix is hitting that point after weak guidance. What does that mean for ...

Too Hard Pile

My too hard to understand pile is pretty big, but I don’t throw enough stocks in the too hard pile. Teladoc is an awesome company with an awesome mission, but in reality I don’t understand ...

Peloton: SaaS Plus a Box or Boxed In?

The tides changed and Peloton was swimming naked. Or were they purposefully skinny-dipping? Let’s dive in and figure it out. Connected Fitness Products Sales dropped substantially, while costs rose substantially. Not a good combination. Let’s ...