Mortgaging the Moat

Every now and then you hear a phrase that succinctly explains an idea that had been floating around in your head. One of my favorite examples is just keep buying, but a more recent one ...

Balancing Bull vs Bear

Sometimes I think too much. I drive my wife crazy by constantly changing my mind from day to day, but I can’t help it. I’ve got the same thoughts on the market, but rarely act ...

Serendipity: A Life Worth Living

Some words linger in your brain. For me, it’s serendipity. I don’t know why it does, but it lingers on the periphery of my mind. Serendipity Serendipity is making fortunate discoveries by accident. Serendipity is ...

Volatility: A True Investor’s Dream

The true investor welcomes volatility … a wildly fluctuating market means that irrationally low prices will periodically be attached to solid businesses. Warren Buffett It’s easy to think of volatility as a bad thing. The ...

A Risky Reminder to Myself

We are all tempted. Get rich quick sounds so nice. From 20% interest rates to shitty jpegs, get rich quick is everywhere. Getting rich sounds so nice. Losing all your money is way worse. Never ...

Why I’m Still Buying

The market has been imploding, yet I’m still buying. I’ve been buying. I’ll keep buying. Why? I believe timing the market is one of the hardest things to do in investing. Time causes chaos. Out ...

Optionality in Bear Markets

A lot of investors talk about optionality in bull markets. Cash is abundant and optionality is an easy crutch for justifying high valuations. When bear markets come, the talk of optionality ends. Why This Makes ...

10 Degenerate Bets

I invest 98% of my money. Buy and hold. The kind of investing that puts people to sleep. Every now and then, I let the degenerate in me out. Plus, we are in a bear ...

Spot On: Balancing Forecasts and Reality

I expected Spotify to lay out a clear path to profitability at their recent investor’s day. Wall Street has been anxious and in many ways I understand why. We are 10+ years in and Spotify ...