Bearly Thinking: On Lying Timeframes

I fall down bear holes like anyone else. Whether it be China / Taiwan relationships, historical valuation comparisons or anything else, it’s easy to over analyze or extrapolate something that doesn’t need to be. The ...

Spotify and the Audiobook Dilemma

I love audiobooks, but Audible is sort of a pain. A subscription for credits just doesn’t make that much sense. I’m a big fan of Libby, but it’s not necessarily simple and has a limited ...

Lessons Learned from Stitchfix

Learning from your past mistakes is the best way to learn. The beauty of having a blog is that you can revisit your thoughts at the time. Let’s revisit one of my main mistakes. The ...

The Problem With Complexity

Complexity can be alluring. It can seem that complexity brings potential of higher returns, tax savings, increased flexibility or even reduced risk. Unfortunately, complexity begets itself. Complexity Breeds Complexity The problem with complexity is that ...

Bad Ideas: Roku Enters Gaming

I think Roku should enter the gaming market. Let’s dive into the pros/cons of what this would mean. Why Gaming? If Roku can prove out their business model (hard ware at or below cost, then ...

The Mental Model You Need: Bayesian Thinking

I’ve been increasingly seeing people being prisoners of the moment. Whatever is happening now is the truth. A great example of this is the NBA playoffs right now. After 3 games of the Eastern Conference ...

Peacock’s Quest to Burn Cash

I’m a huge fan of investing in yourself. Whether it be personal or a company, the benefits of compounding can lead to huge returns. However, every now and then some companies in a sign of ...

The Opportunity Cost of Thoughts

I saw a new idea on Twitter the other day. Thinking cost is the idea that you can only think about one idea at a time, which creates a high opportunity cost. You have limited ...