23 Predictions for 2023

Let’s make some reckless predictions. Not for any real reason, other than that they are fun. As you can see from last year, these bounce all over the place and some are terribly wrong.

Bearish Nightmares: The Second Cold War

Every now and then you read something that shakes your bullishness. Stratechery gave me that with an end of the “Post-Cold War”. This is an amazing quote, because it’s toeing the line between making a ...

The Problem with AI

Artificial intelligence (AI) has been all the rage lately, with advancements in machine learning and natural language processing allowing AI systems to do all sorts of impressive things. But let’s be real here: AI is ...

Right Time, Right (Market) Place?

I’ve been fascinated by Opendoor and iBuying for awhile now. Traditional real estate needed to be disrupted in favor of something more user friendly. iBuying provided an interesting opportunity. The problem with iBuying is the ...

The Problem with Netflix

Netflix had been consistently out performing for 10 years.. then fell off a cliff. Is this a buying opportunity? Let’s dive in. Netflix had been on a tear. They created their own category, then continued ...

The State of Crypto

Give me a lever long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall bankrupt everyone SBF (probably) Crypto is unravelling… fast. If you’ve been living under a crypto rock, FTX went ...

The Bull Case for Meta?

“Changing my name was meant to inspire and bring youth together all around the world.” Metta World Peace or Meta the company, I’m not really sure at this point Meta has so much that you’d ...